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Google LLC. The official YouTube app built just for music. Twitter, Inc.I will be blogging live here. Last night was a bit of a wash for the RNC. The main prime time speech went over well, when it happened, but it turned out to be (partially) plagiarized.

The big nights will be Wednesday and Thursday, when PredictWise (i. The expectations for the convention are pretty low, meaning that it could be a gain for him, if he does well. I will be back with daily updates in the Musing section as well as regular Tweets and Facebook updates. Site last updated at 8 PM ET yesterday, but I hope to have the data flowing in the next few hours.

In the meanwhile, will tweet out updates if anything changes.

But, should not be a huge worry. UPDATE: all fixed by 11:30 AM ET today. Sorry for any issues Are prediction markets now too stable, because people trust them too much. I explore with Andrew Gelman in a new post at Slate. I know it is not as sexy or important as the president, but senate races are just really exciting. Wisconsin and Illinois are very likely Democrats gains from Republicans in blue states.

Nevada is now a tight hold for the Democrats. Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Florid are all leaning Republican by a whisker. Ohio and North Carolina are leaning Republican a little more strongly. The chart tracks the probability of victory on PredictWise since we started state-by-state predictions on February 27, 2016. I know that an efficient market should have everything priced in immediately, but the state-by-state predictions have slipped slightly above the national predictions in the last few days.

She just needs to win one of those and she is president. At this point I have been constructing the predictions independently and they have stayed very consistent. If this divergence continues I will become increasingly concerned about whether the national markets are suppressed. If there is a good lesson for American public opinion from Brexit it this. The two set of voters: leave and remain, live in a totally different reality.

The remain voters got increasingly freaked out about the British economy as a possibility turned into a reality. The leave voters, most of them, assume that it was meaningless fit of the elite bankers who were upset they did not get their way.

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A small fraction of leave voter regret their vote. But, remain would most likely win a re-vote, because a huge number of non-voters feel silly for not voting remain. Brexit happened, what does that mean for the USA. This does not affect how I predict the USA election, because (1) the USA has a long history of data versus a one-shot event (2) the USA has many outcomes to calibrate on versus just one outcome (3) we have more data for the USA election than Brexit.

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But, we certainly learned that a segment of the UK voters really want immigration restrictions and trade barriers. And then there were two. While Bernie Sanders is technically still running, Donald Trump v. This lead may be surprisingly small to some people (Democrats) or surprisingly large to others (believers in fundamental models).Example: "Sepal length" Specifies the type of the field.

It can be numeric, categorical, text, or items.

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Example: "text" Specifies the text analysis parameters for this text field. It can be any of those that are explained here. Number of millisecondsthat BigML. Example: 1 description optional A description of the dataset up to 8192 characters long. None of the fields in the source is excluded. Specifies the fields that won't be included in the dataset. Example: true size optional The number of bytes from the source that you want to use. Example: 500 category filterable, sortable, updatable One of the categories in the table of categories that help classify this resource according to the domain of application.

This will be 201 upon successful creation of the dataset and 200 afterwards. Make sure that you check the code that comes with the status attribute to make sure that the dataset creation has been completed without errors.

A dictionary that informs about the number of fields of each type. A dictionary with an entry per field (column) in your data. A dictionary with meta information about the fields dictionary. Specifies the locale for this field if it is different from the dataset's locale.

Name of the field. It will be the same as in the source if has not been specified here. Specifies the operational type of the field. It can be numeric, categorical, or text. Numeric or categorical summary of the field.

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An array that represents an approximate histogram of the distribution. It consists of value pairs, where the first value is the mean of a histogram bin and the second value is the bin population. For more information, see our blog post or read this paper. An array of pairs where the first element of each pair is one of the unique values found in the field and the second element is the count.

Only available when the number of distinct values is less than or equal to 32. A measure of 'peakiness' or heavy tails in the field's distribution. A status code that reflects the status of the dataset creation. Number of milliseconds that BigML.

Information about ill-formatted fields that includes the total format errors for the field and a sample of the ill-formatted tokens. Example: "category": 1 description optional A description of the dataset up to 8192 characters long. Example: "description": "This is a description of my new dataset" fields optional Updates the names, labels, and descriptions of the fields in the new dataset.

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Example: "description": "This field is a transformation" descriptions optional A description for every of the new fields generated. Example: "fields": "(window Price -2 0)" label optional Label of the new field. Example: "label": "New price" Labels for each of the new fields generated.Are you the best gambler in the world.

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